The sudden price increase of agricultural products is more like “***” The production link is “injured”

A sudden increase in the price of a certain agricultural product will affect people’s consumption psychology. This may not only change people’s immediate consumption, but also affect people’s consumption expectations, which is unfavorable for expanding domestic demand and stabilizing the market.

A sudden increase in the price of a certain agricultural product is no longer a "double-edged sword", but more like a "triple knife". It may hurt the green onions that are used as ingredients in various aspects of the production of goods. These two days became the protagonists of media coverage: 10 yuan to buy two green onions to become an important news. I went to a vegetable market near Zhongguancun in Beijing and made a small survey. The sellers introduced that they had risen to 6 yuan and 1 kg in the first two days. However, today they have fallen somewhat. The price is 4 yuan a pound, and some people have sold 4.5 yuan.

Over the past few years, the prices of certain agricultural products have suddenly risen or even skyrocketed. Welsh onions are not the first one. Garlic, ginger, mung beans have all had such experiences. We have reason to believe that under the control of relevant departments, the price of scallion will soon return to normal prices.

Exploring the reasons for the skyrocketing prices of these products include production, circulation, information channels, and of course, some commercial speculation. Returning to the simple process of commodity production, from the three perspectives of production, circulation, and consumption, it can be said that the sudden price increase of a certain agricultural product is no longer a “double-edged sword” but more like a “triple knife”, which hurts It is all aspects of product production.

The first thing to hurt was of course the consumer. Because soaring onion prices, consumers' normal lives have been affected. According to media reports, some restaurants that operate dumplings have changed the onions into shallots. Some consumers use onions instead of green onions as a seasoning for cooking. More importantly, a sudden increase in the price of a certain agricultural product will affect people’s consumption psychology. This may not only change people’s immediate consumption, but also affect people’s consumption expectations. It is not conducive to expanding domestic demand and stabilizing the market. .

Farmers planting green onions will not benefit much from the price increase of onions. According to media surveys, the price of Chinese welsh onions in the growing regions is limited, and it is not as many times as it was in the food market. The inconsistency of profits in circulation and production will inevitably affect the enthusiasm of farmers for planting. It should be noted that after many years of development, scallion cultivation in many places has been conducted in the form of professional contracting. According to media reports, contractors have raised the prices of green onions but have not increased farmers' income. The abnormal profit formation mechanism is intangible harm to the intensive management of agriculture. Moreover, this is not based on the soaring prices of supply and demand. It will also send erroneous market information to farmers, allowing them to grow in large numbers in the coming year and create a new backlog, leading to a new cycle of vicious circles.

On the face of it, circulation seems to be the beneficiary. It is reported that some traders have accumulated green onions and made profits of 10 million yuan in 3 months. However, it is not difficult for us to look ahead and see that this “triple knife” also hurt the dealer. The profits generated through speculation and hoarding are not the entire circulation, but only a few. Many people have noticed that hot money has caused price increases in the turn of small crops over the past few years. This time, the onion prices have also been repeated. What is also to be noticed is that the sudden rise and fall of certain agricultural products has done a lot of damage to the basic construction of the distribution channels. For example, Shandong scallions sold to Shanghai in the past, and now it has become a “reverse flow” of Shanghai scallions to Shandong, and logistics sites, warehousing, etc. will have new problems and will directly affect the infrastructure construction of the logistics industry. For some small traders, the soaring and falling prices of certain products may change their purchasing channels and affect the steady development.

Finally, I would also like to point out that the onion price hike has actually undergone a gradual process, which is not as sudden as some media reports. The price hike area is concentrated in several places such as Beijing and Guangdong. It is not obvious in other parts of the country, and the purchase of two onions for 10 yuan is only an extreme case. The price of agricultural products is related to the entire price situation, and stable price is an important part of macro-control. On such major issues, media reports must have a sense of responsibility for “creating a thousand strokes,” and they should not blindly “grab the eyeballs,” and even let incomplete reports eventually hurt themselves.