Black pepper prices will go all the way 2011.9.9

Autumn is expected to increase prices - black pepper in the recent herbal market sluggish market, most varieties of the price decline. This is due to the sluggish sales in the off-season. Some species have their own callbacks due to excessive price increases, such as Codonopsis, Taizishen, and so on. Schisandra prices and so on. Now that Fuxia is about to pass, the autumn mood is gradually coming. How will market conditions go?

Personally, it is believed that the possibility of continued downward adjustment is not ruled out because the price of herbs is good in the past two years. The enthusiasm for planting of herbs and peasants this year is high, and the large area of ​​medicinal materials is naturally large. According to the traditional theory, the supply is greater than the price is naturally soft. However, this theory has been questioned at the moment. Now that capital is king, it is coincident with printing money in various countries around the world, and inflation has become increasingly fierce. The United States QE3 is already on the board. Under such strong expectations, can prices (including drug prices) be adjusted back? I deeply doubt it. Nowadays, the quality of peasants is no longer the same, including knowledge quality and material quality. The peasants knew that the current price inflation was irresistible. They also knew that the government had excessively printed banknote currency floods. Plus, after all, the living conditions were good. It was not time for the agricultural products that did not sell hard for a year to pass the last year. The farmers' price was low and they did not sell. Is the norm. Therefore, there is a game process in the autumn (medicine) price of autumn and autumn, which may not necessarily lead to falling down. This may disappoint the person who is looking forward to lowering the price, and will also disappoint the Statistics and Development Bureau of the National Development and Reform Commission. This is a manifestation of marketization. Good thing.

The wild species of traditional Chinese medicines are long-flowing, are trapped in resources, and the prices for sufficient production in the market rise steadily, and the supply needs to be skyrocketing. Anyway, on such a large amount, it is not afraid of anything from the Development and Reform Commission Price Bureau to suppress it. Therefore, the wild species in locks are a good choice for resisting inflation. Is there gold in the family species that is in short supply? One example of pepper is for reference only.

There are two kinds of pepper medicine: black and white. But they are not different varieties, but different processing methods. Black pepper is a non-peeled and harvested fruit when the fruit begins to turn red. White pepper is harvested when the fruit is all red, dried and dried by water immersion. The price of black pepper in the product is slightly lower than the price of white pepper. It is mainly produced in Vietnam, India, Brazil and China. The white pepper produced in Hainan Province of China is of high quality, but the output is not large. Therefore, the pricing power of pepper is foreign, and the domestic market is only followed. Pepper is a large variety with an annual output of several hundred thousand tons, and the price is not easy to control. The statement that pepper has its main players is purely nonsense. It is known that in the past two consecutive years, pepper production has been reduced slightly. It is estimated that the annual output will be reduced by about 20%. Although the reduction is not large, it is sufficient to balance the supply and demand of pepper. Vietnam is the largest exporter of pepper, accounting for about 50% of the world market. According to Vietnam’s “Young People” report on August 23, Vietnam has exported 90,000 tons of pepper this year. Vietnam’s total export of pepper is about 11 million tons this year, and there are 8 to 9 months from the next season. The gap between supply and demand is evident. The Ministry of Commerce of Vietnam had previously predicted that pepper stocks may be depleted in August/September this year. If there is no accident, the price of pepper will go all the way until the next production season without risk.

Attachment: The prices of black pepper in various drug markets in recent days are black pepper, and the supply of goods in small batches is smooth, with the total shipment of 39-40 yuan. Anguo Pharmaceutical City 2011-08-23

Black pepper system goods 40-42 yuan, white pepper system goods 56-57 yuan. Yulin Pharmaceutical City 2011-08-21

White pepper, EC goods 56-57 yuan, black pepper system goods 40 yuan up and down. Yulin Pharmaceutical City 2011-07-27

White pepper, Hainan goods 57-59 yuan, black pepper system goods 40-42 yuan. Luzhou Drug Market 2011-07-26

White pepper, price stability, EC goods 54-55 yuan, black pepper, price callback, EC goods 37-38 yuan. Anguo Pharmaceutical City 2011-05-29